The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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VfL Wolfsburg v VfL Osnabrück

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 12:00 UTC

Final: VfL Wolfsburg 2–0 VfL Osnabrück

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prediction 60.55%1.65fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -7.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.59%60.53%60.69%62.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.531.5870.92%65.69%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Osnabrück (Visit)

Prediction 19.13%5.23fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.756%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.45%19.15%19.01%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.894.905.4023.81%20.47%20.41%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.32%4.92fair odd
EV -0.652%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%20.32%20.30%21.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.484.504.8924.10%22.32%22.22%20.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Wolfsburg (Local): 60.55%; VfL Osnabrück (Visit): 19.13%; Draw: 20.32%. For VfL Osnabrück (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.60%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +3.33%E +0.616%K +0.756%G +0.025%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -0.502%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -2.48%E -0.517%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 11:19
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.47%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -0.502%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -8.57%E -5.68%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -0.502%E -0.096%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:39
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.35%EV -4.33%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.82%EV -1.46%E -0.283%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.82%EV -0.652%E -0.133%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.03%EV -9.78%E -6.57%K -19.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -2.42%E -0.474%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -12.64%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.48%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.79%EV -2.99%E -0.590%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.73%EV -1.87%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.48%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.79%EV -2.99%E -0.590%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.73%EV -1.87%E -0.387%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-29 23:54
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.50%E -0.736%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 11:15
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -3.50%E -0.736%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 11:34
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 11:35
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 11:55
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.65%E -3.21%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -13.65%E -3.21%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.98%EV -10.99%E -7.48%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -13.65%E -3.21%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -12.20%E -8.42%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%EV -14.67%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-31 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.81%E -8.90%K -29.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -4.33%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -14.67%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 11:35
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.60%EV -5.54%E -3.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.29%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.51%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 11:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.68%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -6.24%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.83%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.07%EV -7.20%E -1.48%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 11:49
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.29%EV -6.15%E -3.97%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.39%EV -7.77%E -1.61%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 11:20
picklebet_au🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 11:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 11:20
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -6.75%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 11:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 11:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.01%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.16%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.50%E -0.736%K -0.932%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.66%EV -4.33%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -9.11%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -6.54%E -1.42%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.15%EV -6.75%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -4.51%E -0.960%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 11:15
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.58%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -12.03%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 11:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 11:15
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.67%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -10.61%E -2.41%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.67%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.22%EV -12.20%E -8.42%K -27.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.98%EV -11.98%E -2.60%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.79%EV -14.67%E -3.49%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-31 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.36%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -15.81%E -3.59%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -13.65%E -3.21%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.15%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.03%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 11:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.15%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.03%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 11:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.15%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.03%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.59%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -17.15%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -12.03%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 59.96%EV -14.63%E -10.37%K -35.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.66%EV -17.72%E -4.12%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.37%EV -15.69%E -3.78%K -4.98%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-31 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.94%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -19.64%E -4.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.29%EV -12.64%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-31 11:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%0.4%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.28%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.93%0.4%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%0.4%2026-10-31 11:55
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%0.4%2026-10-31 11:55
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%0.8%2026-10-31 11:55
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.35%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.83%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.9%2026-10-31 11:50