Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück v Greuther Fürth

2026-10-25 12:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prediction 41.76%2.39fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.793%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.13%41.84%41.77%43.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.182.202.3550.51%45.84%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Greuther Fürth (Visit)

Prediction 32.47%3.08fair odd
EV +0.671%
Edge +0.216%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.75%32.39%32.40%33.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.803.1038.46%35.51%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.77%3.88fair odd
EV -0.803%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.282%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.77%25.84%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.553.8530.30%28.09%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 41.76%; Greuther Fürth (Visit): 32.47%; Draw: 25.77%. For Greuther Fürth (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +0.671%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.96%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV +0.671%E +0.216%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.27%EV -6.47%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -10.22%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -2.58%E -0.859%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.38%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 12:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.31%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -3.38%E -0.901%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 12:34
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.09%E -0.550%K -0.747%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 15:52
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 14:59
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -5.82%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.97%E -4.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 14:59
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -0.803%E -0.209%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-18 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 17:04
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 16:36
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:34
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:35
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:34
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.45%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -7.45%E -2.61%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -5.96%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -1.86%E -0.793%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 14:29
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -2.28%E -0.975%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.09%E -0.550%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 15:43
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.09%E -0.550%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -4.67%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 15:44
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 13:49
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.05%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 12:34
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 12:34
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.25%EV -10.63%E -4.97%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%EV -9.07%E -3.24%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-18 12:34
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.13%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 15:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -11.47%E -5.41%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -8.53%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 12:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.70%E -3.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -9.82%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 12:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -11.67%E -4.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-18 13:53
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -10.22%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.24%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 15:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.18%EV -17.31%E -8.74%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.67%EV -12.32%E -4.56%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-18 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.65%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.00%EV -13.94%E -5.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -11.11%E -3.22%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-18 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -15.57%E -5.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-18 15:42
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.82%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -15.57%E -5.99%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.21%EV -12.40%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%4.2%2026-10-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%4.2%2026-10-18 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%4.2%2026-10-18 19:00
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%5.1%2026-10-18 19:20