Language:English
VfL Osnabrück v Dynamo Dresden
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VfL Osnabrück (Local)
Prediction 35.97%2.78fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.879%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%35.82%35.97%36.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.602.8541.67%38.33%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dynamo Dresden (Visit)
Prediction 38.85%2.57fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.33%38.95%38.80%41.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.352.4746.51%42.95%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.52%25.23%25.23%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.8529.41%27.71%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 35.97%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 38.85%; Draw: 25.18%. For VfL Osnabrück (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV +2.51%E +0.879%K +1.35%G +0.034% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 14:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -1.09%E -0.397%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -15.31%E -7.02%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.12%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -2.89%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -15.31%E -7.02%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -13.12%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.69%E -1.77%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 11:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.19%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.68%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72%EV -4.43%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.72%EV -4.43%E -1.80%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -4.82%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.04%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-27 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 11:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 07:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.30%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-22 07:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 11:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -6.49%E -2.49%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -6.85%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 01:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -6.85%E -2.64%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-26 01:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.20%EV -7.92%E -3.10%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -7.32%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-26 01:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.82%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.08%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 08:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 08:06 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-22 12:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.28%E -3.25%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -13.12%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-23 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.08%E -4.03%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.34%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-03 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.38%EV -10.80%E -4.36%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.34%EV -13.37%E -5.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.28%EV -12.61%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-28 08:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-28 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-28 12:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-28 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.28%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -14.38%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-22 07:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -11.88%E -4.85%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.99%EV -16.47%E -7.66%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.92%EV -13.12%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-04 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.01%EV -12.96%E -5.36%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.26%EV -13.12%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.46%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.59%E -5.60%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.65%EV -10.60%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-22 12:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -13.68%E -5.70%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.53%E -6.61%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -11.86%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.75% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 38.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.61% | 16.6% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.31% | 160.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.31% | 160.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 32.84% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 34.31% | 160.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |