The School of Odds
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VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg

2026-10-23 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prediction 34.81%2.87fair odd
EV +4.43%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.22%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%34.47%34.95%35.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.653.0040.82%38.18%37.74%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)

Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.63%40.27%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.302.4048.78%43.87%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.78%4.04fair odd
EV -4.60%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.05%24.90%24.77%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.703.8529.41%27.42%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfL Bochum (Local): 34.81%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 40.41%; Draw: 24.78%. For VfL Bochum (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.00, producing a positive expected value of +4.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV +4.43%E +1.48%K +2.22%G +0.098%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.27%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 21:40
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -6.01%E -2.23%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.01%E -1.26%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -4.60%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-16 21:00
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.05%EV -7.40%E -2.78%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.80%EV -10.29%E -4.63%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-16 22:10
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:35
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:35
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -3.82%E -1.61%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 21:05
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.84%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-16 21:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -7.75%E -2.93%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.10%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-16 16:39
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.32%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 16:40
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.08%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-16 17:35
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 21:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 16:34
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -11.10%E -5.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -10.80%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-16 21:10
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -11.23%E -4.40%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -11.23%E -4.40%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.05%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-16 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -11.23%E -4.40%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -7.86%E -3.45%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -13.28%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.43%EV -11.23%E -4.40%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-16 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.76%EV -11.23%E -4.40%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.99%EV -17.16%E -8.37%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.25%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-16 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.52%E -4.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-16 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -9.08%E -4.03%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.52%E -4.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-16 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.83%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -9.56%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-16 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -13.12%E -6.10%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -15.75%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-16 21:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -14.71%E -6.01%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -15.14%E -7.21%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -12.04%E -3.39%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-16 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 22:00