The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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VfL Bochum v VfL Wolfsburg

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 16:30 UTC

Final: VfL Bochum 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prediction 32.16%3.11fair odd
EV +1.32%
Edge +0.419%
Kelly +0.614%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.63%32.02%32.23%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.893.1536.36%34.31%34.60%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)

Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.73%43.60%43.27%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.102.142.2551.81%47.71%46.73%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.50%4.08fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +0.686%
Kelly +0.900%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.72%24.38%24.49%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.754.2028.57%26.57%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Bochum (Local): 32.16%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 43.34%; Draw: 24.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.72%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV +2.88%E +0.686%K +0.900%G +0.026%4.8%2026-10-23 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -2.02%E -0.505%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 15:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -2.02%E -0.505%K -0.673%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-23 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.72%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -3.24%E -0.821%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 15:30
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.12%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.72%EV -4.22%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 15:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV +1.32%E +0.419%K +0.614%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.31%EV -12.45%E -6.17%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.63%EV +0.998%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 14:43
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.63%EV +0.998%E +0.318%K +0.466%G +0.005%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 14:43
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:29
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.62%EV -6.72%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.81%EV -4.22%E -1.91%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 15:35
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.72%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -5.69%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.92%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.13%EV -2.49%E -1.10%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.11%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:30
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:30
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.72%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -4.65%E -2.11%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 15:30
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -4.47%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.90%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.43%EV -4.79%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.09%EV -8.55%E -4.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -6.72%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:30
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -1.90%E -0.622%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.18%EV -15.05%E -7.68%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-23 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.14%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 15:34
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 15:30
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.86%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.93%EV -15.49%E -7.94%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.14%EV -10.58%E -3.81%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58%EV -11.15%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -9.86%E -2.68%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 15:30
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.43%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -5.11%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.81%EV -16.35%E -8.47%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-23 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -5.11%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.81%EV -16.35%E -8.47%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.08%EV -13.75%E -6.91%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -10.59%E -2.90%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 15:35
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:35
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:40
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-23 15:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-23 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-10-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-10-23 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-10-23 15:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-10-23 15:50
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-10-23 15:30