L’École des cotes

VfL Bochum v Holstein Kiel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prévision 52.08%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.39%52.06%52.01%53.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.791.791.8861.73%55.94%55.87%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Holstein Kiel (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.53%4.25cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.900%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.68%23.52%23.60%25.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.863.804.3828.57%25.88%26.32%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.40%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.722%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.92%24.42%24.39%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.713.704.0131.25%26.98%27.03%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +3.04%E +0.694%K +0.900%G +0.027%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 12:10
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 12:09
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.99%EV -0.958%E -0.228%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.13%EV -2.17%E -0.542%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 12:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 12:04
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:24
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.53%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:10
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 12:14
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:15
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:19
Suprabets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.32%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:19
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.37%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -5.83%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.75%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 12:09
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:14
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:14
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:14
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:04
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 12:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 12:14
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.61%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -9.90%E -5.72%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -11.07%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.64%EV -11.44%E -3.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 12:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -12.51%E -7.45%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 12:14
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.50%EV -14.07%E -8.53%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -13.39%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 12:18
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:14
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -3.13%E -1.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:14
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:20
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.04%EV -15.63%E -9.65%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.79%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.17%EV -18.27%E -5.45%K -7.78%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-22 12:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 12:14
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -10.42%E -6.06%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -9.90%E -5.72%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -21.93%E -6.85%K -9.97%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-22 12:04
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -17.66%E -5.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -15.83%E -4.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 12:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -17.66%E -5.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -15.83%E -4.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 12:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-03-22 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:24
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-22 12:25