La escuela de los momios

VfL Bochum v Holstein Kiel

Inicio: 2026-03-22 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Predicción 52.08%1.92momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.39%52.06%52.01%53.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.791.791.8861.73%55.94%55.87%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Holstein Kiel (Visitante)

Predicción 23.53%4.25momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +0.900%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.68%23.52%23.60%25.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.863.804.3828.57%25.88%26.32%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.40%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.722%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.92%24.42%24.39%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.713.704.0131.25%26.98%27.03%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.68%EV +3.04%E +0.694%K +0.900%G +0.027%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 12:10
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 12:09
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.88%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.99%EV -0.958%E -0.228%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.13%EV -2.17%E -0.542%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 12:25
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 12:04
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -1.19%E -0.284%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:24
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.53%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.03%EV -2.42%E -0.604%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 12:19
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.55%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:10
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 12:14
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 12:15
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 12:10
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 12:19
Suprabets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.32%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:20
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.74%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:19
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.90%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 12:19
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -6.37%E -1.60%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -5.83%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 12:19
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.75%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.07%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 12:09
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:14
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:14
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.25%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 12:14
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -7.82%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 12:04
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 12:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 12:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 12:10
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.79%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 12:14
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.61%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.70%EV -9.90%E -5.72%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.66%EV -11.07%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.64%EV -11.44%E -3.15%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 12:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.23%EV -12.51%E -7.45%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 12:14
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.50%EV -14.07%E -8.53%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -13.39%E -3.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 12:18
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:14
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -3.13%E -1.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 12:14
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 12:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -8.86%E -5.06%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 12:20
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.04%EV -15.63%E -9.65%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.79%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.17%EV -18.27%E -5.45%K -7.78%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-22 12:20
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 12:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -14.13%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 12:14
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.31%EV -10.42%E -6.06%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-22 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -9.90%E -5.72%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -21.93%E -6.85%K -9.97%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-22 12:04
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -17.66%E -5.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -15.83%E -4.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 12:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 49.39%EV -7.30%E -4.10%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -17.66%E -5.05%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -15.83%E -4.59%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 12:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-03-22 12:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:24
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-22 12:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-22 12:25