L’École des cotes

VfL Bochum v Greuther Fürth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prévision 55.61%1.80cote équitable
EV +0.107%
Avantage +0.059%
Kelly +0.133%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.20%55.41%55.67%56.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.691.671.8064.52%59.34%59.88%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Greuther Fürth (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.50%4.65cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -0.924%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%21.68%21.45%23.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.174.204.5025.97%23.97%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.538%
Kelly -0.702%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.15%22.91%22.88%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.934.004.2729.41%25.45%25.00%23.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV +0.107%E +0.059%K +0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV +0.107%E +0.059%K +0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:50
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -2.12%E -1.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -15.34%E -4.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -2.67%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 14:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.23%E -0.718%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:34
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -16.13%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -17.63%E -4.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -16.13%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -17.63%E -4.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 11:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.23%E -0.718%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 01:35
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:34
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:45
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.49%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.09%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.23%EV -2.30%E -0.538%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 09:55
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 15:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:04
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 11:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:35
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:04
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:45
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 02:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:43
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:08
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.79%E -5.36%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:46
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 13:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.22%EV -11.57%E -7.28%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -12.91%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.15%EV -11.57%E -7.28%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -12.91%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.20%EV -13.51%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 13:39
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.76%EV -12.13%E -7.68%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.77%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.86%EV -13.80%E -8.90%K -25.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.49%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 06:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-04-23 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-04-23 22:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 55.75%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59%6.1%2026-04-24 00:15