La escuela de los momios

VfL Bochum v Greuther Fürth

Inicio: 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Predicción 55.61%1.80momio equitativo
EV +0.107%
Ventaja +0.059%
Kelly +0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.20%55.41%55.67%56.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.691.671.8064.52%59.34%59.88%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Greuther Fürth (Visitante)

Predicción 21.50%4.65momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.718%
Kelly -0.924%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%21.68%21.45%23.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.174.204.5025.97%23.97%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.702%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.15%22.91%22.88%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.934.004.2729.41%25.45%25.00%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV +0.107%E +0.059%K +0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:50
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV +0.107%E +0.059%K +0.133%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -11.83%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:50
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -1.56%E -0.882%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -14.20%E -3.79%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 11:50
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -2.12%E -1.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -15.34%E -4.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -2.67%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 14:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -3.23%E -0.718%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:34
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -16.13%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -17.63%E -4.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -16.13%E -4.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -17.63%E -4.90%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 11:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.23%E -0.718%K -0.924%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 13:10
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.78%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 01:35
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:34
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:45
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 56.49%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.28%EV -4.09%E -0.918%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.23%EV -2.30%E -0.538%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 11:44
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 09:55
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 15:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -7.53%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:04
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -18.77%E -5.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 11:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:35
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 13:44
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:04
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:45
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.12%E -4.27%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:40
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.92%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 13:45
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -6.46%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -6.89%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 02:19
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 18:43
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -8.61%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:08
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:09
Suprabets1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.79%E -5.36%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 18:46
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.68%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 13:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -9.90%E -6.11%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -22.20%E -6.53%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.22%EV -11.57%E -7.28%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.68%EV -12.91%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 55.15%EV -11.57%E -7.28%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.65%EV -12.91%E -3.19%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.20%EV -13.51%E -3.57%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 13:39
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.76%EV -12.13%E -7.68%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.47%EV -17.21%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.77%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 18:45
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.86%EV -13.80%E -8.90%K -25.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -13.98%E -3.50%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.49%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 06:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-04-23 17:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-04-23 17:50
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%4.2%2026-04-23 22:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 55.75%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.59%6.1%2026-04-24 00:15