Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.08
assuming max odds 3.76
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Bochum (Local): 46.17%; Arminia Bielefeld (Visit): 27.18%; Draw: 26.65%. For Arminia Bielefeld (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.99%EV -4.88%E -2.37%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.74%EV +2.21%E +0.587%K +0.799%G +0.018% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-11 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.15%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.512%E -0.140%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.15%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.512%E -0.140%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -9.04%E -4.59%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -2.14%E -0.595%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.14%E -0.595%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -2.14%E -0.595%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -3.50%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -4.86%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.99%EV -8.12%E -4.08%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.83%EV -3.54%E -0.979%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.24%EV -9.04%E -4.59%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -3.54%E -0.979%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.081%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -4.42%E -2.14%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.35%E -2.61%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 11:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.58%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 11:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.94%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.40%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 11:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.60%EV -15.50%E -8.47%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -3.96%E -1.90%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.96%E -5.11%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.64%EV -11.35%E -5.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.56%EV -13.56%E -4.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.80%EV -12.87%E -3.94%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-11 11:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -14.38%E -4.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -14.38%E -4.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -6.73%E -3.33%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -14.38%E -4.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.23%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -14.38%E -4.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.71%EV -12.27%E -6.46%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -14.38%E -4.56%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -13.40%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.60%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.73%E -5.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.67%EV -8.58%E -4.33%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -15.73%E -5.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -9.04%E -4.59%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -15.73%E -5.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-11 11:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-11 11:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 11:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 11:25 |