Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.21
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 43.75%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visit): 32.37%; Draw: 23.88%. For FC Energie Cottbus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -10.75%E -5.27%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV +3.60%E +1.12%K +1.64%G +0.059% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -13.82%E -7.01%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -1.26%E -0.412%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.25%E -7.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -1.26%E -0.412%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -14.25%E -7.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -1.26%E -0.412%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -12.85%E -3.52%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-03 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -14.25%E -7.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -2.88%E -0.958%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -14.25%E -7.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -2.88%E -0.958%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -4.49%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-28 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.63%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -5.14%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.69%EV -4.63%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.50%EV -5.14%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 03:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.48%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -9.00%E -4.33%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 17:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.11%EV -3.32%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.24%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -8.07%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.25%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -7.25%E -3.42%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 09:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.26%EV -5.50%E -2.55%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.90%EV -8.06%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.84%EV -6.40%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -6.38%E -2.98%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.85%EV -8.38%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.71%EV -6.40%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 17:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.45%EV -6.82%E -3.20%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.70%EV -8.38%E -2.96%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.85%EV -7.36%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 17:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 11:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.13%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.88%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 09:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 09:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -9.00%E -4.33%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.46%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-04 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.50%E -6.25%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -4.49%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-28 08:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-28 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-28 12:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-28 12:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.32%E -5.03%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -9.27%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.50%E -6.25%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 11:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -14.69%E -7.53%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-04 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -12.50%E -6.25%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -11.65%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-05 09:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.67%EV -12.94%E -6.50%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -14.69%E -7.53%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -14.04%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-29 17:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.40% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.86% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90% | 10.3% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 42.79% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 41.53% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 15.69% | 77.1% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 42.65% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 41.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 15.64% | 77.6% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |