The School of Odds
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SV Darmstadt 98 v 1. FC Magdeburg

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 12:00 UTC

Final: SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.21%32.35%32.36%33.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.852.853.0038.46%35.05%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)

Prediction 41.84%2.39fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.48%41.85%41.84%43.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.192.202.3351.28%45.62%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%25.80%25.81%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.603.7929.85%27.98%27.78%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 32.35%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 41.84%; Draw: 25.81%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.79, with an expected value of -2.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:35
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -3.27%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.49%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.25%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.21%EV -3.60%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.66%EV -8.80%E -4.04%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.13%EV -8.10%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.77%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%EV -2.52%E -1.08%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.59%EV -2.16%E -0.571%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 11:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -4.57%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 10:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.57%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.96%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -3.71%E -0.995%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.51%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.96%EV -5.03%E -2.22%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -3.71%E -0.995%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 23:54
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -3.20%E -0.852%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 11:44
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 11:55
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 11:55
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 11:50
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 09:20
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:19
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 11:19
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV -11.31%E -5.33%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 11:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 11:20
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 11:34
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -12.15%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 11:35
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -12.15%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -12.15%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-27 10:05
picklebet_au🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.78%E -1.64%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 11:55
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 11:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 11:35
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 11:34
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.96%E -3.62%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.05%E -4.68%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.75%EV -13.40%E -6.47%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-27 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.60%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.75%EV -13.40%E -6.47%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-27 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 11:55
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.36%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -5.87%E -2.61%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 11:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.05%E -4.68%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 09:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.05%E -4.68%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.05%E -4.68%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.05%E -4.68%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 09:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.23%EV -12.98%E -6.24%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 31.99%EV -12.01%E -4.41%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.04%EV -13.40%E -6.47%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-31 11:50
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.05%E -4.68%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.34%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.40%EV -18.42%E -9.45%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.26%EV -13.52%E -4.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-31 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -15.89%E -6.11%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -12.15%E -5.78%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-10-31 11:45
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-10-31 11:55
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.68%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-10-31 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-10-31 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-10-31 11:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.76%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-10-31 11:45

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