The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 v 1. FC Heidenheim

2026-11-20 17:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.593%
Kelly +0.821%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%28.29%28.43%29.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.153.103.6035.09%31.71%32.26%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visit)

Prediction 47.57%2.10fair odd
EV -4.85%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.81%47.63%47.51%49.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.931.942.0056.50%51.77%51.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.443%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.08%24.06%25.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.763.754.1029.85%26.62%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 28.37%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visit): 47.57%; Draw: 24.06%. For SV Darmstadt 98 (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.60, producing a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV +2.13%E +0.593%K +0.821%G +0.018%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.51%EV -8.18%E -4.24%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.95%EV -4.02%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-09 14:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.78%E -0.945%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 14:20
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -7.71%E -3.97%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -7.63%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.43%EV -8.66%E -4.51%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.22%EV -7.63%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.19%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 14:45
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.80%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.37%E -0.335%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-09 18:05
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.39%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-09 16:27
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 14:39
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 14:40
picklebet_au🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.85%E -2.43%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -5.80%E -2.93%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 14:39
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:40
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:38
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.13%E -4.78%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:40
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -7.23%E -3.71%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-09 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.02%EV -15.74%E -5.30%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.35%EV -11.51%E -6.19%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -15.81%E -4.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-09 14:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -16.31%E -5.53%K -8.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.20%EV -9.61%E -5.06%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -12.20%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-11-09 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.98%EV -19.14%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.94%EV -11.51%E -6.19%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.07%EV -14.60%E -4.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-09 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 28.89%EV -19.14%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 46.52%EV -15.79%E -8.92%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.58%EV -19.42%E -5.80%K -8.26%G +0.000%21.4%2026-11-09 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.