L’École des cotes

SC Preußen Münster v SV Darmstadt 98

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

Score final : SC Preußen Münster 1–1 SV Darmstadt 98

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prévision 40.96%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -0.706%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.27%40.85%40.99%41.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.33%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.44%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -0.997%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.93%34.55%34.37%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.03%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.60%4.07cote équitable
EV -0.128%
Avantage -0.032%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.54%24.60%24.64%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.713.754.0633.33%26.95%26.67%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -1.69%E -0.706%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.18%E -4.78%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -1.60%E -0.401%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:49
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.53%EV -2.10%E -0.881%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -6.32%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.86%EV -0.128%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 03:04
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 01:58
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.94%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:39
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.94%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:39
Suprabets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -5.38%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.23%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 03:04
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 20:34
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.47%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:00
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 04:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:35
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.60%E -0.401%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 02:54
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 02:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 03:05
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -9.08%E -3.44%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 03:09
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -9.08%E -3.44%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 03:04
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:34
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:34
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:38
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 01:24
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 01:54
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.19%EV -6.20%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.30%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:34
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.51%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 01:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:34
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.70%E -2.87%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:35
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.70%E -2.87%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 20:34
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 01:54
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -8.66%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 04:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 04:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 04:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -26.20%E -8.73%K -13.10%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-10 01:24
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.87%EV -11.12%E -5.12%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.90%EV -7.70%E -2.87%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 23:33
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.52%EV -11.53%E -5.34%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -12.67%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.52%EV -11.53%E -5.34%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -12.67%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 17:34
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.34%EV -12.34%E -5.77%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-08 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.17%EV -13.16%E -6.21%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.91%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 20:33
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.40%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 02:10
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 01:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-05-10 01:40