La escuela de los momios

SC Preußen Münster v SV Darmstadt 98

Inicio: 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

Final: SC Preußen Münster 1–1 SV Darmstadt 98

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Predicción 40.96%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.27%40.85%40.99%41.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.4047.62%44.33%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visitante)

Predicción 34.44%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -0.997%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.93%34.55%34.37%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8540.00%37.03%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.60%4.07momio equitativo
EV -0.128%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.54%24.60%24.64%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.713.754.0633.33%26.95%26.67%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -1.69%E -0.706%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.18%E -4.78%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -1.60%E -0.401%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 01:49
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.53%EV -2.10%E -0.881%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -6.32%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.86%EV -0.128%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 03:04
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 01:58
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.94%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:39
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.41%EV -4.94%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 01:39
Suprabets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -5.38%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.29%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.23%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 03:04
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 20:34
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.47%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.06%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:00
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 04:10
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:35
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.60%E -0.401%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 02:54
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 02:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 03:05
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -9.08%E -3.44%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 03:09
Marathon Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -9.08%E -3.44%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 03:04
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:34
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:34
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:38
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.52%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 01:24
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 01:54
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.19%EV -6.20%E -2.71%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.30%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:34
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.53%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 17:34
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.51%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 01:59
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.84%E -0.647%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.98%E -2.43%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 17:34
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:34
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.70%E -2.87%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:35
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.99%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -7.70%E -2.87%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.29%E -1.92%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 20:34
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 20:34
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-10 01:54
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.54%EV -8.66%E -3.88%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.57%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -5.29%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.42%E -3.58%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 04:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 04:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.77%E -3.73%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-07 04:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -26.20%E -8.73%K -13.10%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-10 01:24
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.87%EV -11.12%E -5.12%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.90%EV -7.70%E -2.87%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -7.75%E -2.07%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 23:33
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.52%EV -11.53%E -5.34%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -12.67%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.52%EV -11.53%E -5.34%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -7.01%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -12.67%E -3.57%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 17:34
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.34%EV -12.34%E -5.77%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -8.73%E -3.30%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.90%E -3.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-08 17:49
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.17%EV -13.16%E -6.21%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.91%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 20:33
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.82%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -10.45%E -4.02%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -11.44%E -3.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 23:34
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.40%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -13.90%E -5.56%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -10.21%E -2.80%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 02:10
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-10 01:40
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-05-10 01:40