L’École des cotes

SC Preußen Münster v Greuther Fürth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prévision 44.53%2.25cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -3.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%44.50%44.59%45.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.082.102.1551.81%48.10%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Greuther Fürth (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.47%3.64cote équitable
EV +0.271%
Avantage +0.074%
Kelly +0.102%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.51%27.49%27.43%29.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.303.6532.79%30.15%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -0.570%
Kelly -0.798%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.91%28.00%27.97%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.40%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -4.71%E -2.20%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV +0.271%E +0.074%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.29%EV -4.24%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 10:50
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.16%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.02%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.81%EV -4.52%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 10:50
Suprabets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.61%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.48%EV -8.16%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:35
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:38
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 10:33
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -7.83%E -3.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:49
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.15%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:25
Codere (IT)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.80%EV -6.05%E -2.87%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 10:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -2.00%E -0.570%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 10:39
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -2.00%E -0.570%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 10:39
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:24
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.20%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:38
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:35
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:35
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 10:34
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:35
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 10:39
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:25
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -7.38%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:25
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:35
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:24
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:24
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:24
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -12.28%E -6.23%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:35
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-11 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.71%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.35%EV -10.17%E -3.11%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:30
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.40%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 10:09
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -3.40%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:24
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.72%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:09
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:09
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:10
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:09
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:09
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:10
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:10
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -5.60%E -2.64%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:10
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.93%EV -14.06%E -7.29%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.10%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.97%EV -13.20%E -4.26%K -6.28%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-11 10:39
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -13.46%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.80%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:10
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -11.84%E -5.98%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -14.84%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -10.40%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.84%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -19.36%E -6.72%K -10.30%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-11 10:40
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -10.05%E -4.98%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -16.21%E -5.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-11 10:09
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -10.05%E -4.98%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -16.21%E -5.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -7.60%E -2.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-11 10:10
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -10.95%E -5.47%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -16.21%E -5.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.00%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 10:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-04-11 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%0.9%2026-04-11 10:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.4%2026-04-11 10:50