La escuela de los momios

SC Paderborn v Dynamo Dresden

Inicio: 2026-03-21 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Paderborn (Local)

Predicción 52.66%1.90momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -4.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.04%52.77%52.57%54.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.751.751.8363.29%57.30%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)

Predicción 22.55%4.43momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +0.329%
Kelly +0.423%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.96%22.47%22.55%23.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.114.104.5027.03%24.35%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.848%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.19%24.76%24.88%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.713.753.9030.77%26.98%26.67%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.85%EV -9.43%E -5.48%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV +1.48%E +0.329%K +0.423%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 11:45
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.37%EV -4.69%E -2.59%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.61%EV +0.803%E +0.180%K +0.231%G +0.002%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.02%EV -4.30%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-21 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -6.27%E -3.52%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -0.775%E -0.176%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:35
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -6.27%E -3.52%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -0.775%E -0.176%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 11:34
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.57%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -0.775%E -0.176%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.89%EV -5.54%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 11:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.96%E -5.82%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -0.775%E -0.176%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 11:44
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -2.35%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 11:34
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -2.35%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:44
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.44%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -3.03%E -0.705%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.57%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.06%EV -7.33%E -4.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -4.16%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.97%EV -7.27%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 11:45
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -4.17%E -2.29%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 11:29
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 11:45
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.16%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 10:59
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -7.33%E -4.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 11:53
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:59
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 10:59
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 11:45
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -10.48%E -6.17%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:44
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -3.64%E -1.99%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 11:20
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -8.38%E -4.82%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 11:00
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -8.38%E -4.82%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 11:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.17%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 11:34
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 11:00
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.27%E -3.52%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:30
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -6.27%E -3.52%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 11:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -5.22%E -2.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 11:34
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 11:55
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.80%E -3.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.03%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 11:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -6.27%E -3.52%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 11:20
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 11:35
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 11:34
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 11:34
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.85%E -4.49%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 11:30
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -10.48%E -6.17%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.03%EV -11.54%E -6.87%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.92%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.03%EV -11.54%E -6.87%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -10.92%E -2.77%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.41%EV -9.51%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.33%E -4.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.91%E -5.15%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.19%EV -9.96%E -5.82%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.93%EV -11.24%E -3.14%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 11:33
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.78%EV -13.12%E -7.95%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -13.22%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-21 11:45
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.08%EV -16.80%E -10.64%K -28.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.50%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.41%EV -18.18%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-21 11:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.67%EV -12.59%E -7.58%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.71%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -12.06%E -7.22%K -18.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -15.43%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-21 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.48%E -6.17%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -16.56%E -4.48%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -10.75%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 11:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-03-21 11:55
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-03-21 11:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-03-21 11:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-21 11:35