The School of Odds
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Karlsruher SC v VfL Osnabrück

2026-11-22 12:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prediction 41.37%2.42fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.48%41.57%41.14%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.202.232.3250.25%45.52%44.94%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Osnabrück (Visit)

Prediction 33.46%2.99fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.29%33.45%34.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.9540.00%36.93%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.466%
Kelly -0.627%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.14%25.40%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.603.603.9030.77%27.80%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Karlsruher SC (Local): 41.37%; VfL Osnabrück (Visit): 33.46%; Draw: 25.17%. For VfL Osnabrück (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.95, with an expected value of -1.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.17%EV -4.03%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.28%EV -3.97%E -1.38%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.54%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-09 18:20
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -6.65%E -2.38%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.83%EV -8.87%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.82%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.48%EV -6.99%E -2.51%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -8.87%E -2.45%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 18:04
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -1.82%E -0.466%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 14:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 14:10
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-09 18:07
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 18:10
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -8.99%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-09 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -6.92%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.49%EV -8.99%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-09 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -8.99%E -4.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -11.34%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-09 18:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -11.06%E -5.14%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -1.30%E -0.440%K -0.666%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.82%E -0.466%K -0.627%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 15:15
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -11.06%E -5.14%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:45
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -11.06%E -5.14%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -11.06%E -5.14%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -11.06%E -5.14%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.37%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-09 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.06%E -5.14%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -14.68%E -5.76%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-09 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.03%EV -13.13%E -6.25%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.40%EV -13.68%E -5.30%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 25.57%EV -15.16%E -4.50%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-09 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.13%E -6.25%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -16.35%E -6.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.00%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 41.52%EV -17.68%E -8.88%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.05%EV -16.35%E -6.54%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.42%EV -18.18%E -5.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-09 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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