The School of Odds
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Karlsruher SC v SV Darmstadt 98

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 11:30 UTC

Final: Karlsruher SC 4–0 SV Darmstadt 98

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.34%40.07%39.89%42.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.302.4648.78%43.81%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit)

Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.05%34.00%34.17%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.752.9038.46%36.57%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -0.941%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.93%25.94%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.383.563.593.7529.59%28.12%27.86%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 39.96%; SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit): 34.06%; Draw: 25.98%. For SV Darmstadt 98 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.59%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -3.37%E -0.905%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-18 11:24
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.59%E -0.690%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-18 11:29
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 11:23
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 11:19
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 11:23
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 11:24
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 11:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.59%E -0.690%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 11:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.55%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.59%E -0.690%K -0.941%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 11:09
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 11:04
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.78%EV -6.49%E -2.77%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.22%EV -7.35%E -2.70%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 11:19
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.14%EV -7.69%E -3.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.11%EV -2.24%E -0.780%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-18 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.93%EV -7.69%E -3.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.92%E -1.02%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 10:52
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 11:15
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -10.76%E -4.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 11:19
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 11:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 10:54
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 10:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.41%E -3.96%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 11:03
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:20
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:19
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:19
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -10.89%E -4.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -1.22%E -0.420%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.70%EV -13.29%E -6.12%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-18 11:19
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 11:19
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.37%EV -14.08%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.57%EV -9.73%E -3.67%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -14.48%E -6.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-18 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.94%EV -14.48%E -6.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-18 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.19%EV -14.88%E -6.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.86%EV -9.05%E -3.39%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.96%EV -12.20%E -3.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -16.08%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 11:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -16.08%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -6.33%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -18.08%E -8.82%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-18 10:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-10-18 11:24
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-10-18 11:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-10-18 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-10-18 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-10-18 11:25
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.81%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.0%2026-10-18 11:20