Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC v Hannover 96

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%24.59%24.60%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.723.753.8529.41%26.87%26.67%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visit)

Prediction 52.04%1.92fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.54%52.04%51.99%53.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.781.801.8360.98%56.25%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.29fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.621%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%23.37%23.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.863.904.2030.30%25.89%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 24.63%; Hannover 96 (Visit): 52.04%; Draw: 23.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.18%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.77%E -2.61%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.99%E -0.473%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-19 11:30
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 09:25
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 11:38
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -6.86%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.97%EV -6.86%E -3.83%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 12:04
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -7.82%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.99%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 11:50
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:30
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.32%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:30
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.33%E -3.52%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.49%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 09:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.94%E -5.11%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.43%EV -14.66%E -8.94%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.88%EV -10.62%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 12:57
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.34%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.90%E -4.46%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -13.80%E -3.94%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -22.99%E -6.97%K -10.00%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 09:25
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.58%EV -16.27%E -4.78%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.27%EV -9.98%E -5.77%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -15.99%E -4.44%K -6.15%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-19 09:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 24.82%1.04I 96.15%NM 49.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 25.55%93.7%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 24.82%1.04I 96.15%NM 49.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 25.55%93.7%2026-04-19 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 24.82%1.04I 96.15%NM 49.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 25.55%93.7%2026-04-19 15:10