Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 3.60
assuming max odds 4.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 50.49%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visit): 27.24%; Draw: 22.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.211%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.211%E +0.047%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.68%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -3.30%E -0.930%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.05%EV -2.24%E -0.510%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -3.57%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -3.57%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.58%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.57%E -0.826%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 11:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.24%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 10:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.24%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.85%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -4.24%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.66%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -4.24%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -7.10%E -3.86%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.24%E -0.987%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%EV -6.09%E -3.27%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -5.36%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.17%EV -6.09%E -3.27%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -5.36%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -8.11%E -4.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -5.36%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.36%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.08%E -2.70%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 10:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -7.10%E -3.86%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.32%EV -7.10%E -3.86%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -4.07%E -2.14%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 10:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.02%EV -7.10%E -3.86%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.94%E -0.538%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 11:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -10.13%E -5.69%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.83%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 10:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.25%EV -4.57%E -2.42%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -2.48%E -0.694%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -8.92%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-13 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -5.58%E -2.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.60%E -4.15%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 10:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.59%E -3.56%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.85%EV -10.13%E -5.69%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -10.63%E -6.01%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 11:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -10.63%E -6.01%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.02%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 11:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.13%E -6.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.13%E -6.33%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -7.39%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.12%E -5.06%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.47%E -3.53%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.64%E -6.65%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -10.11%E -3.06%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.73%EV -12.14%E -6.98%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -8.75%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -14.26%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.75%EV -11.64%E -6.65%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.64%EV -14.20%E -4.51%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -14.26%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -10.63%E -6.01%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 27.57%EV -13.38%E -4.21%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 22.89%EV -14.71%E -3.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 11:18 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.97% | 0.0% | 2026-09-13 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.45% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |