A Escola das Odds

Karlsruher SC v Arminia Bielefeld

Início: 2026-04-10 16:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Previsão 29.05%3.44odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.397%
Kelly +0.557%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.60%29.07%28.98%30.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.103.103.4936.36%32.24%32.26%28.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante)

Previsão 45.50%2.20odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.800%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.41%45.42%45.50%46.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.032.052.1652.63%49.20%48.78%46.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.45%3.93odd justa
EV -3.28%
Vantagem -0.863%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.33%25.51%25.51%27.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.563.553.8032.26%28.11%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.69%EV +1.39%E +0.397%K +0.557%G +0.008%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.47%EV -5.37%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.84%EV -4.81%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 16:29
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -1.23%E -0.361%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Suprabets3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -2.10%E -0.623%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.51%EV -8.55%E -4.26%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.75%EV -7.60%E -2.10%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -2.97%E -0.889%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.43%EV -8.55%E -4.26%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.35%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:30
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.13%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:27
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 16:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 16:30
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:29
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -5.59%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:29
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 16:30
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 16:30
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 16:29
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:30
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.04%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:29
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.97%EV -1.73%E -0.800%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.88%EV -6.59%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 16:29
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.49%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -12.65%E -6.59%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Coolbet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.44%EV -8.78%E -2.80%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -9.36%E -3.00%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -10.15%E -2.88%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.28%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:30
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.01%E -4.50%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.94%E -3.21%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.10%E -6.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.10%E -6.80%K -10.05%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.55%EV -11.40%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 45.83%EV -13.56%E -7.14%K -15.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 16:30
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -3.55%E -1.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.10%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 16:24
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -10.83%E -5.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.28%E -5.79%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -12.85%E -4.28%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -13.10%E -6.86%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -4.46%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -14.30%E -4.85%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 16:30
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.50%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.50%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -15.75%E -5.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.50%EV -6.28%E -3.05%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -16.33%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.49%EV -7.19%E -3.52%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.67%EV -16.33%E -5.67%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.73%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.19%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 16:30
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.76%EV -20.11%E -7.31%K -11.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.60%EV -11.74%E -6.05%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.63%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.25%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.61%0.1%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%1.4%2026-04-10 16:30
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%1.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%6.1%2026-04-10 16:30