L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Nürnberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 11:00 UTC

Score final : Karlsruher SC 0–1 1. FC Nürnberg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prévision 32.98%3.03cote équitable
EV -0.388%
Avantage -0.129%
Kelly -0.192%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.55%32.97%33.08%34.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.753.0238.46%36.06%36.36%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.90%2.33cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.960%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%43.03%42.78%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.152.2848.78%46.27%46.51%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.12%4.15cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.307%
Kelly +0.403%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%24.01%24.13%25.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.823.804.2027.78%26.21%26.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karlsruher SC (Local) : 32.98% ; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur) : 42.90% ; Match nul : 24.12%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.15. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +1.29%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV -6.00%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV +1.29%E +0.307%K +0.403%G +0.005%5.0%2026-09-17 11:01
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +1.29%E +0.307%K +0.403%G +0.005%7.1%2026-09-17 11:00
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.97%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -1.12%E -0.274%K -0.362%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 11:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.54%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.54%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -3.54%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.54%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 11:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.54%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 11:01
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -3.54%E -0.884%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-17 11:01
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.05%E -0.349%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.41%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.46%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -2.70%E -0.914%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.00%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 04:19
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.00%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 10:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 16:59
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.95%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 16:58
LowVig.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -0.388%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -6.43%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:51
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -0.388%E -0.129%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.90%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.55%EV -6.43%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 02:51
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:51
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:51
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:51
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:50
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.30%EV -2.19%E -0.960%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 10:51
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.35%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 12:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -10.94%E -4.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.34%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 10:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.79%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:00
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.94%E -4.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 11:01
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.35%E -1.50%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.06%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -8.84%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 11:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.17%EV -4.68%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.24%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.59%EV -8.84%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 11:09
Suprabets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.04%EV -4.68%E -1.62%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.27%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 11:12
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -6.00%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 10:04
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.00%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 04:19
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 10:05
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.29%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 10:51
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 10:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.94%E -4.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.94%E -4.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 10:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.94%E -4.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 10:44
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.94%E -4.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 33.16%EV -11.93%E -4.47%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.78%EV -11.20%E -5.41%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.06%EV -11.25%E -3.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 10:03
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.98%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 10:51
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -11.98%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -12.59%E -4.75%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -11.98%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-18 11:05
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-17 09:40
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-17 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-17 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-17 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -14.24%E -5.48%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.03%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-17 10:51
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.85%EV -11.93%E -4.47%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-18 10:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.1%2026-09-18 15:30
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%3.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%3.4%2026-09-18 14:35
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%3.4%2026-09-18 15:00