The School of Odds
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Karlsruher SC v 1. FC Heidenheim

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 19:30 UTC

Final: Karlsruher SC 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -0.735%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.18%28.24%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.5133.33%30.32%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visit)

Prediction 47.60%2.10fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%47.67%47.62%49.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.911.922.0057.14%52.26%52.22%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.601%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%24.15%24.14%25.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.813.854.0728.57%26.26%25.97%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karlsruher SC (Local): 28.28%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visit): 47.60%; Draw: 24.12%. For Karlsruher SC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.51, with an expected value of -0.735%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -0.735%E -0.209%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.52%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.84%EV -1.84%E -0.453%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -1.02%E -0.291%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 18:40
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -8.60%E -4.48%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 18:55
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -10.03%E -5.31%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:10
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:25
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -2.43%E -0.705%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -10.51%E -5.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.87%EV -3.77%E -0.946%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.87%EV -3.77%E -0.946%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:40
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 18:55
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.85%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 18:54
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 18:45
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 19:10
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -12.89%E -7.04%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 19:10
1xBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -6.11%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -10.29%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.02%EV -6.11%E -1.84%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.98%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.00%EV -10.29%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 16:39
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 18:40
picklebet_au🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.80%E -2.40%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 18:39
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 19:24
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -8.13%E -4.21%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 19:24
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 18:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.98%E -5.87%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.98%E -5.87%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 19:25
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -13.36%E -7.34%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.40%EV -13.36%E -7.34%K -16.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -13.84%E -7.65%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -7.15%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 19:10
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.75%E -2.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.53%E -0.883%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 18:55
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -10.77%E -2.91%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 18:40
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:40
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:40
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.94%E -6.45%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -14.79%E -8.26%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -14.79%E -8.26%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -6.70%E -3.42%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.94%E -1.52%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 18:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 18:45
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.18%E -3.68%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.36%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 18:40
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.56%E -2.55%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-31 18:55
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 18:45
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.08%E -4.75%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -15.59%E -4.45%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.24%EV -11.46%E -6.16%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 19:09
NetBet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -12.89%E -7.04%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -13.18%E -3.66%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-31 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.76%EV -13.74%E -4.51%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 48.39%EV -16.70%E -9.54%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.85%EV -14.38%E -4.05%K -5.64%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-31 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.96%EV -11.46%E -6.16%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.93%EV -11.97%E -3.28%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-10-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-10-31 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-10-31 19:10
Matchbook◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-10-31 19:10
Smarkets◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-10-31 19:25
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-10-31 18:45