A Escola das Odds

Hertha Berlin v VfL Bochum

Início: 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Previsão 43.35%2.31odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.34%43.40%43.34%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.112.102.2551.28%47.34%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Previsão 29.86%3.35odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.440%
Kelly -0.632%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%29.86%29.87%31.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.42%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -0.913%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%26.74%26.79%28.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.423.453.6133.33%29.24%28.99%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.20%E -1.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -2.05%E -0.625%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:05
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.20%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 18:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:05
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -7.23%E -3.38%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.31%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.45%E -0.440%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 17:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 19:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:20
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:20
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.78%EV -10.80%E -3.24%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 19:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -11.57%E -5.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.89%E -5.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.00%E -4.86%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.64%E -6.55%K -9.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%EV -13.73%E -6.90%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.51%EV -13.73%E -6.90%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -13.40%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 19:25
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -15.47%E -7.93%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -16.38%E -5.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.96%E -5.47%K -8.08%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-03-14 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-03-14 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-14 19:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-14 19:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-03-14 19:25