La escuela de los momios

Hertha Berlin v VfL Bochum

Inicio: 2026-03-14 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Predicción 43.35%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.34%43.40%43.34%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2551.28%47.34%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Predicción 29.86%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -0.632%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.86%29.87%31.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.42%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.79%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -0.913%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.81%26.74%26.79%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.453.6133.33%29.24%28.99%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:05
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -2.46%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.24%E -1.00%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.75%EV -4.20%E -1.90%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -2.05%E -0.625%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -3.30%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 19:19
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:05
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.63%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.20%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Suprabets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -5.50%E -2.52%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.40%EV -8.65%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:04
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 19:20
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:19
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 18:59
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 19:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:05
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:10
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:05
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.80%E -3.16%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.56%EV -7.23%E -3.38%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.63%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.31%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.45%E -0.440%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.56%E -0.990%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 19:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 17:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.97%E -4.27%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 19:09
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.52%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.90%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -6.24%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 19:20
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -9.83%E -4.73%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.10%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.43%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -7.58%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 19:20
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:20
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:20
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 43.72%EV -10.27%E -4.96%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:20
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.92%E -2.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 19:20
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.78%EV -10.80%E -3.24%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 19:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -11.13%E -5.43%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.69%EV -11.57%E -5.67%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 19:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.89%E -5.23%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -10.26%E -3.06%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.30%E -6.65%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -14.00%E -4.86%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -19.64%E -6.55%K -9.82%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-14 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%EV -13.73%E -6.90%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -11.60%E -3.52%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.51%EV -13.73%E -6.90%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -13.40%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -12.94%E -3.98%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-14 19:25
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -15.47%E -7.93%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -16.38%E -5.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -16.96%E -5.47%K -8.08%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-14 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-03-14 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-03-14 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-14 19:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-14 19:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-14 19:10
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-03-14 19:25