مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hertha Berlin v Greuther Fürth

البداية: 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Hertha Berlin 2–1 Greuther Fürth

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hertha Berlin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.98%1.96السعر العادل
EV -3.65%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -4.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.82%50.92%51.01%52.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.681.821.831.8959.52%54.89%54.64%52.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Greuther Fürth (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.02%3.84السعر العادل
EV -2.68%
الأفضلية -0.716%
Kelly -0.977%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.28%26.04%25.98%27.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.543.553.7431.75%28.27%28.17%26.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.00%4.35السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.254%
Kelly -0.332%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.93%23.04%23.01%25.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.923.904.3030.30%25.51%25.64%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.11%EV -3.65%E -1.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.83%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.06%EV -3.62%E -0.865%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-09 23:49
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.77%EV -4.16%E -2.22%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.16%E -2.22%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:34
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.16%E -2.22%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 23:34
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -4.16%E -2.22%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 01:50
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 11:34
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 11:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -4.67%E -2.50%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 10:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 01:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 00:55
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 01:51
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:34
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:34
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:35
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:34
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:34
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:34
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 11:35
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 23:24
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -5.69%E -3.08%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 23:29
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.88%EV -6.20%E -3.37%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 23:29
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 23:35
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.72%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 20:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -1.09%E -0.254%K -0.332%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 00:53
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 09:34
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 23:35
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.51%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.23%EV -8.45%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 23:28
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 23:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 23:23
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 11:34
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -5.02%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 11:34
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 11:34
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:25
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:24
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:24
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.71%E -3.67%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 12:05
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -7.22%E -3.97%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -5.80%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 23:24
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.24%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 11:05
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.24%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 11:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 00:54
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 00:54
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 01:10
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 01:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -8.24%E -4.58%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.75%EV -9.26%E -5.20%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -3.39%E -0.808%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 11:05
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -9.77%E -5.52%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-07 11:35
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.33%EV -10.79%E -6.17%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.22%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.13%EV -16.05%E -4.40%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-07 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -11.30%E -6.49%K -15.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.37%EV -6.84%E -1.91%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.43%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 23:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -11.81%E -6.83%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -24.10%E -7.30%K -10.48%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-09 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.36%EV -12.83%E -7.50%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.81%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 23:34
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.16%EV -13.34%E -7.85%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 23:54
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.47%EV -14.36%E -8.55%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.92%EV -18.03%E -5.72%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.61%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-06 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-05-10 02:34
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-05-10 02:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-10 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-10 02:04
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-05-10 02:25