The School of Odds
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Hannover 96 v FC St. Pauli

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 18:30 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 1–1 FC St. Pauli

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 39.73%2.52fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.92%39.82%39.70%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4447.62%43.62%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St. Pauli (Visit)

Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.984%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.30%33.99%34.14%35.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.8839.22%36.49%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.481%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.19%26.16%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.7530.77%28.50%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 39.73%; FC St. Pauli (Visit): 34.08%; Draw: 26.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.80%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -3.05%E -1.25%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.73%EV -2.19%E -0.763%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -4.68%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.80%E -0.481%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 06:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -2.59%E -0.696%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 06:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.66%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.62%EV -2.59%E -0.696%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 06:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.58%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 18:14
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.64%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.58%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 18:13
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.48%EV -5.04%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 06:10
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.94%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.59%EV -3.55%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.48%EV -5.99%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 06:05
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 18:25
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 18:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -4.58%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.58%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.63%E -2.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.73%EV -7.02%E -3.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.30%EV -7.64%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.97%EV -6.25%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 06:05
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.82%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 06:05
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -7.82%E -3.37%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 06:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -2.87%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.11%E -0.841%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 06:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 07:00
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 18:03
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 06:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 17:44
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-17 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -14.90%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-17 18:15
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:49
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:50
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -1.85%E -0.642%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 17:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.37%E -3.94%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.37%E -3.94%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 17:39
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.71%E -4.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.60%E -4.71%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -13.10%E -5.14%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -8.35%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 06:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.38%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -12.28%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.59%E -5.72%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.12%EV -12.41%E -4.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -11.75%E -3.49%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-17 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.49%EV -13.38%E -6.14%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -4.58%E -1.63%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -13.78%E -6.35%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -13.78%E -6.35%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.47%EV -14.18%E -6.56%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.54%EV -14.97%E -7.00%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.54%EV -14.97%E -7.00%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -16.56%E -7.89%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -11.39%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-17 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-10-17 18:25
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.54%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-10-17 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-10-17 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-10-17 18:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-10-17 18:15
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-10-17 18:15