The School of Odds
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Hannover 96 v Dynamo Dresden

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 12:30 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 2–1 Dynamo Dresden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%48.47%48.48%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.08%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visit)

Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV +0.656%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.235%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.58%26.63%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7932.26%29.46%29.41%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%24.95%24.89%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.683.703.8730.30%27.20%27.03%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 48.50%; Dynamo Dresden (Visit): 26.56%; Draw: 24.94%. For Dynamo Dresden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.656%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.29%EV -4.45%E -2.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.62%EV +0.656%E +0.173%K +0.235%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.09%EV -3.49%E -0.901%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -1.73%E -0.469%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -7.84%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -1.73%E -0.469%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 12:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -3.96%E -2.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 11:45
picklebet_au🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:45
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 11:45
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 11:45
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 12:20
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 12:20
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.84%EV -7.58%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.16%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.71%EV -7.58%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 11:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:45
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.24%E -6.14%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 11:45
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -2.99%E -1.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -12.36%E -3.74%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.20%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -12.89%E -3.93%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 12:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 11:45
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 11:45
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.01%EV -12.21%E -6.75%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -12.71%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 47.72%EV -13.66%E -7.68%K -17.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -15.01%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.74%EV -17.70%E -5.36%K -7.70%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-01 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -6.87%E -3.58%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -16.34%E -5.19%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.68%EV -8.33%E -4.41%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -17.67%E -5.70%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -8.81%E -4.69%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -17.67%E -5.70%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.62%EV -11.72%E -6.44%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -17.67%E -5.70%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.42%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-01 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.84%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-11-01 12:20
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.84%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-11-01 12:20
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-11-01 12:00

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