L’École des cotes

Hannover 96 v Dynamo Dresden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prévision 64.87%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -5.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%64.86%64.89%66.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.441.441.5078.13%69.58%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dynamo Dresden (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.19%6.59cote équitable
EV +2.50%
Avantage +0.370%
Kelly +0.435%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.06%15.14%15.21%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.966.006.7520.00%16.79%16.67%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.94%5.01cote équitable
EV -0.290%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.20%20.00%19.90%24.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.514.505.0027.78%22.19%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +2.50%E +0.370%K +0.435%G +0.011%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.32%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV +1.74%E +0.260%K +0.305%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 10:59
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 12:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 11:59
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.72%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.96%EV -1.90%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.290%E -0.058%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:00
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 14.77%EV -3.73%E -0.588%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.36%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.79%EV -3.28%E -0.677%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.36%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.79%EV -3.28%E -0.677%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 10:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 11:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.85%E -0.944%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:00
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.85%E -0.944%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 11:00
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -7.37%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.27%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 12:00
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -7.37%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.27%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 11:59
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.50%EV -9.83%E -7.07%K -25.20%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -7.37%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.58%EV -7.27%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:00
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:45
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:45
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 11:58
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 11:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 11:59
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 11:59
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.99%EV -13.07%E -9.75%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -10.41%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.25%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 11:58
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:45
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.27%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.22%EV -11.26%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 11:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 11:59
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 64.74%EV -16.96%E -13.25%K -60.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.54%EV -13.45%E -2.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.72%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%20.7%2026-02-22 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.15%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.96%E -2.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.95%EV -15.25%E -3.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.15%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.96%E -2.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.95%EV -15.25%E -3.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -16.48%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -28.21%E -7.84%K -10.85%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01%EV -10.48%E -7.59%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%EV -18.00%E -3.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-22 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.28%E -3.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 11:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.28%E -3.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 11:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -24.07%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -24.07%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-02-22 12:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.58%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-02-22 12:00