La escuela de los momios

Hannover 96 v Dynamo Dresden

Inicio: 2026-02-22 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hannover 96 (Local)

Predicción 64.87%1.54momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -5.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.70%64.86%64.89%66.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.441.441.5078.13%69.58%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)

Predicción 15.19%6.59momio equitativo
EV +2.50%
Ventaja +0.370%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.06%15.14%15.21%17.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.966.006.7520.00%16.79%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.94%5.01momio equitativo
EV -0.290%
Ventaja -0.058%
Kelly -0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.20%20.00%19.90%24.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.514.505.0027.78%22.19%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.79%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV +2.50%E +0.370%K +0.435%G +0.011%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.32%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.06%EV +1.74%E +0.260%K +0.305%G +0.005%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 10:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 10:59
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 12:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -1.30%E -0.200%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 11:59
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.72%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.96%EV -1.90%E -0.295%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.290%E -0.058%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 12:00
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 14.77%EV -3.73%E -0.588%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 12:00
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.36%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.79%EV -3.28%E -0.677%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.36%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.79%EV -3.28%E -0.677%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 10:59
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 11:59
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -5.09%E -0.815%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -8.27%E -1.80%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 10:59
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.26%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -5.85%E -0.944%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 12:00
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 64.99%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.85%E -0.944%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 11:00
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -7.37%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.27%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 12:00
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.85%EV -7.23%E -5.06%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -7.37%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.94%EV -7.27%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 11:59
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.50%EV -9.83%E -7.07%K -25.20%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -7.37%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.58%EV -7.27%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 11:59
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 12:00
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:45
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.99%E -2.69%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 20:45
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.28%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 64.67%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -6.27%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 11:58
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 11:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 11:59
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -8.89%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 11:59
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.99%EV -13.07%E -9.75%K -38.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.76%EV -10.41%E -1.76%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.25%EV -14.25%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 11:58
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.99%EV -4.64%E -3.15%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -7.88%E -5.55%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -4.28%E -0.891%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:00
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.76%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:45
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 20:45
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.47%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.27%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -11.93%E -2.06%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.22%EV -11.26%E -2.53%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 12:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 10:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 11:59
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.18%E -6.56%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -12.69%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.24%E -3.87%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-22 11:59
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 64.74%EV -16.96%E -13.25%K -60.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.54%EV -13.45%E -2.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.72%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%20.7%2026-02-22 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.15%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.96%E -2.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.95%EV -15.25%E -3.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.15%EV -8.53%E -6.05%K -20.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.96%E -2.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.95%EV -15.25%E -3.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -16.48%E -3.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -28.21%E -7.84%K -10.85%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.01%EV -10.48%E -7.59%K -27.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.36%EV -18.00%E -3.33%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -10.26%E -2.28%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-22 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.28%E -3.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 11:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.44%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.13%EV -20.28%E -3.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -12.26%E -2.79%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 11:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -24.07%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -24.07%E -4.81%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -20.23%E -5.06%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.28%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.43%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%0.6%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-02-22 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-02-22 12:00
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.58%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.5%2026-02-22 12:00