The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Greuther Fürth v Eintracht Braunschweig

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC

Final: Greuther Fürth 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prediction 44.87%2.23fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%44.96%44.88%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.062.052.1553.48%48.54%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit)

Prediction 30.41%3.29fair odd
EV +0.344%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.149%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%30.39%30.42%31.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.033.003.3035.46%33.05%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.366%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.67%24.64%24.70%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.754.0029.41%26.98%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greuther Fürth (Local): 44.87%; Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit): 30.41%; Draw: 24.73%. For Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.344%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV +0.344%E +0.104%K +0.149%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.57%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 10:30
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.81%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.65%EV -0.873%E -0.268%K -0.386%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -2.58%E -0.655%K -0.878%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-17 10:59
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -2.70%E -0.843%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 10:05
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.42%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.04%EV -3.91%E -1.24%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.53%EV -4.31%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 10:59
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.68%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -4.81%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 09:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 10:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 10:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:15
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:13
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.68%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 09:30
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 10:55
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.14%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.39%EV -6.95%E -2.27%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -6.04%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 06:15
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 10:05
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.57%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 10:59
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.71%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.59%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -1.10%E -0.274%K -0.366%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 06:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.57%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 09:29
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 10:55
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 09:30
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 09:30
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 10:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 10:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 10:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 10:50
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.93%E -4.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-17 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.03%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -3.57%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.03%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -3.57%E -0.916%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 10:45
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 10:35
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -8.47%E -4.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -8.47%E -4.15%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.37%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-17 10:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.59%EV -16.10%E -8.61%K -18.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.54%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-17 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-17 09:29
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 10:59
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 10:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 10:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.76%EV -11.61%E -5.89%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-17 06:19
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -12.43%E -4.32%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-16 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -14.25%E -5.05%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -11.48%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-17 10:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-17 10:55
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-10-17 10:55
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-10-17 10:55