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FC St. Pauli v VfL Bochum

2026-11-21 19:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St. Pauli (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%45.99%45.93%46.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.992.002.0755.56%50.25%50.00%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Bochum (Visit)

Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.53%28.03%27.94%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.183.233.4733.90%31.48%31.01%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -0.939%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%25.99%26.13%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.493.503.8031.75%28.62%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC St. Pauli (Local): 45.99%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 27.94%; Draw: 26.07%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -0.939%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.15%EV -4.79%E -2.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.53%EV -3.05%E -0.880%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.32%EV -5.37%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-09 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -0.939%E -0.247%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 14:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-09 14:30
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.60%EV -5.71%E -2.79%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.07%EV -6.97%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-09 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.80%EV -6.63%E -3.27%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.01%EV -7.25%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-09 14:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 14:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.09%E -3.51%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-09 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.55%E -0.958%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-09 14:40
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-09 14:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-09 16:27
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -16.19%E -5.40%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 14:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -16.19%E -5.40%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 14:45
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -16.19%E -5.40%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.01%E -4.01%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -16.19%E -5.40%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-09 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.57%EV -8.93%E -4.51%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.99%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-09 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.49%EV -10.77%E -5.55%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.79%E -4.85%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-09 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.05%EV -12.61%E -6.64%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.01%EV -17.58%E -5.96%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-09 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.70%EV -13.07%E -6.92%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.13%EV -14.23%E -4.64%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-09 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 45.84%EV -17.21%E -9.56%K -21.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.97%EV -17.58%E -5.96%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.19%EV -17.88%E -5.68%K -8.32%G +0.000%21.2%2026-11-09 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.