Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel

2026-10-09 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eintracht Braunschweig (Local)

Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV -0.094%
Edge -0.034%
Kelly -0.052%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.90%35.55%35.61%36.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.8042.55%39.18%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Visit)

Prediction 38.98%2.57fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.73%39.15%38.97%40.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.332.4545.45%42.88%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.639%
Kelly -0.863%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%25.30%25.42%26.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.593.8530.77%27.94%27.86%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig (Local): 35.68%; Holstein Kiel (Visit): 38.98%; Draw: 25.34%. For Eintracht Braunschweig (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.803. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.800, with an expected value of -0.094%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -0.094%E -0.034%K -0.052%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.42%EV -8.00%E -3.39%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.51%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 12:04
Suprabets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -2.59%E -0.949%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.24%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.85%EV -9.30%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 11:54
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.51%EV -3.31%E -1.22%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.49%EV -9.95%E -4.31%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.01%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-22 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.66%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.64%EV -10.73%E -4.68%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.89%EV -5.25%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-22 11:52
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -5.45%E -2.06%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 14:09
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -4.49%E -1.83%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.46%E -0.639%K -0.863%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 07:54
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.01%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.73%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 07:49
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -9.01%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.73%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 07:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -9.01%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -5.27%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-22 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.01%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -6.44%E -2.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 11:54
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -9.01%E -3.54%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.73%EV -5.66%E -2.34%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 11:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -8.39%E -3.57%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 12:09
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -10.80%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-22 07:48
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.22%EV -11.87%E -4.81%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.19%EV -13.46%E -6.06%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -13.86%E -4.08%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-22 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -14.37%E -5.99%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -10.34%E -4.49%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-22 11:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.34%EV -14.37%E -5.99%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.56%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.10%EV -17.66%E -5.43%K -7.85%G +0.000%17.9%2026-09-22 11:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 35.62%EV -15.08%E -6.34%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.53%EV -14.24%E -6.47%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 25.85%EV -16.90%E -5.15%K -7.41%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-22 11:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.55%EV -16.15%E -6.87%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.18%EV -12.29%E -5.46%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.86%E -4.08%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-22 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.