La escuela de los momios

Dynamo Dresden v SC Preußen Münster

Inicio: 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Local)

Predicción 44.83%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.24%44.84%44.81%45.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.082.082.2054.05%48.11%48.08%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Preußen Münster (Visitante)

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV +0.768%
Ventaja +0.204%
Kelly +0.278%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.81%26.78%30.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.353.403.7634.48%29.85%29.41%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.37%3.52momio equitativo
EV -0.690%
Ventaja -0.197%
Kelly -0.276%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.36%28.40%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.5034.72%30.88%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.25%EV -4.07%E -1.90%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.75%EV +0.768%E +0.204%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -5.23%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.88%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -0.840%E -0.227%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 11:55
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.88%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.92%EV -0.840%E -0.227%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 11:55
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -0.840%E -0.227%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 12:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.840%E -0.227%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:19
Suprabets2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -2.98%E -0.824%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -9.49%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:04
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.35%E -5.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -3.52%E -0.978%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 12:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:40
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.61%EV -6.31%E -3.02%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.690%E -0.197%K -0.276%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 12:25
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 11:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 11:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 11:20
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 11:40
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 11:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 11:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.35%E -5.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 12:19
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 11:45
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.87%E -2.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 12:25
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.35%E -5.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.97%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.06%EV -11.25%E -5.68%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%EV -10.76%E -3.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.15%EV -10.05%E -3.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 12:03
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 11:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.11%E -3.95%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.04%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 11:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -13.94%E -7.26%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -10.62%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.70%EV -13.49%E -6.99%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.76%EV -14.88%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 12:25
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.31%EV -17.07%E -9.23%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.79%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.90%EV -17.71%E -6.11%K -9.32%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -12.14%E -6.19%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.11%EV -10.35%E -5.17%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.94%EV -18.28%E -6.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-15 12:20
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -1.38%E -0.629%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -16.92%E -5.46%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:20
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -1.38%E -0.629%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -16.92%E -5.46%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.53%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 42.39%EV -2.73%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 42.50%EV -3.18%E -1.47%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -18.26%E -5.99%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 12:20
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -3.63%E -1.69%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -19.60%E -6.53%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -4.95%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -22.28%E -7.68%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.24%EV -6.76%E -3.25%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -22.28%E -7.68%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -9.20%E -2.88%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84%0.5%2026-03-15 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-15 12:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.93%1.7%2026-03-15 12:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%4.0%2026-03-15 11:45