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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin

Inizio: 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC

Finale: Dynamo Dresden 1–2 Hertha Berlin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Dynamo Dresden (Casa)

Previsione 36.32%2.75quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.722%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.97%36.24%36.31%37.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.532.522.7041.67%39.49%39.68%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.91%2.57quota equa
EV -0.384%
Vantaggio -0.150%
Kelly -0.246%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.10%39.00%38.87%40.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.382.5645.45%42.34%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.77%4.04quota equa
EV -0.910%
Vantaggio -0.228%
Kelly -0.303%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.76%24.76%24.82%26.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.733.754.0029.41%26.83%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Dynamo Dresden (Casa): 36.32%; Hertha Berlin (Trasferta): 38.91%; Pareggio: 24.77%. Per Hertha Berlin (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.57. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.56, con un valore atteso del -0.384%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -1.95%E -0.722%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 14:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -1.95%E -0.722%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.37%EV -3.40%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%EV -2.72%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.93%EV -3.88%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-19 18:27
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 17:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%EV -2.72%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.80%EV -3.88%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:27
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.85%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%EV -2.72%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.80%EV -3.88%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.910%E -0.228%K -0.303%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:26
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.37%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -5.05%E -2.07%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 14:01
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 17:34
Suprabets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.20%EV -8.17%E -3.46%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.21%EV -9.09%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.07%EV -6.31%E -2.44%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.11%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:54
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:54
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:54
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -2.15%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:55
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 18:04
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.58%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 18:25
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.25%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.25%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.38%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.84%EV -8.85%E -3.53%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -0.384%E -0.150%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -6.11%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:27
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:26
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.21%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 14:01
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 17:39
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 14:01
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -9.21%E -3.68%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 17:39
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -11.28%E -4.95%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -11.28%E -4.95%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.98%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.83%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-19 17:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -14.39%E -6.54%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -11.75%E -4.84%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.27%EV -11.28%E -4.95%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.85%EV -11.75%E -4.84%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.27%EV -11.28%E -4.95%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.88%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.75%E -4.84%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.87%EV -12.55%E -3.56%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-19 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-19 14:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -12.84%E -5.35%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.28%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-19 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-09-19 18:05
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-09-19 18:27
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-09-19 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-09-19 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-09-19 18:27
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%1.3%2026-09-19 18:27