The School of Odds
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Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 17:30 UTC

Final: Arminia Bielefeld 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.65%47.87%47.64%49.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.921.922.0057.14%52.19%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit)

Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.37%26.55%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.513.503.7531.75%28.45%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -0.998%
Edge -0.260%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%25.76%25.81%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.8429.41%27.96%27.78%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arminia Bielefeld (Local): 47.80%; Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit): 26.41%; Draw: 25.78%. For Eintracht Braunschweig (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.945%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.51%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV -0.998%E -0.260%K -0.351%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-30 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -7.96%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -7.96%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 16:30
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 16:30
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-30 14:30
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.00%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-30 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 17:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 13:00
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.55%EV -6.31%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -3.59%E -0.983%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.32%E -0.885%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-30 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-30 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 13:00
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.94%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-30 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-30 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -7.26%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-30 13:00
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 17:24
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.61%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.32%E -0.908%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -9.25%E -2.63%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 17:25
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-30 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -0.945%E -0.252%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.19%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 13:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -5.90%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:25
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.70%E -4.55%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-30 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -9.17%E -4.83%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -2.27%E -0.612%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.03%E -0.534%K -0.725%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-30 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.79%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.23%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 16:39
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.75%EV -12.04%E -6.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -12.04%E -6.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.23%EV -12.04%E -6.54%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -16.79%E -5.33%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-30 13:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.97%EV -12.52%E -6.84%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-30 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.66%EV -13.00%E -7.14%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.66%EV -13.00%E -7.14%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -8.87%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-30 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -16.34%E -9.34%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -12.83%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -12.34%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-30 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-10-30 17:25
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.56%0.3%2026-10-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%0.5%2026-10-30 17:25
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-10-30 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-10-30 17:25
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-30 17:25

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