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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Heidenheim

Início: 2026-09-20 11:30 UTC

Final: Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Previsão 47.71%2.10odd justa
EV -3.14%
Vantagem -1.55%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.60%47.63%47.71%48.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.951.952.0355.25%51.33%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visitante)

Previsão 27.32%3.66odd justa
EV +0.810%
Vantagem +0.219%
Kelly +0.301%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.18%27.43%27.32%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.333.303.6933.33%30.00%30.30%27.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.97%4.01odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -0.674%
Kelly -0.907%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.09%24.94%24.98%25.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.673.703.9028.57%27.27%27.03%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arminia Bielefeld (Local): 47.71%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visitante): 27.32%; Empate: 24.97%. Para 1. FC Heidenheim (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.69, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.810%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV +0.810%E +0.219%K +0.301%G +0.002%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -3.63%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -0.283%E -0.078%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:48
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:22
Suprabets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:18
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.71%EV -6.48%E -3.31%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.12%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.96%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.42%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -2.63%E -0.674%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.42%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -2.63%E -0.674%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 10:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 10:49
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 11:24
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.87%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:09
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:24
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.12%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 10:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.12%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.63%E -0.674%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:15
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:25
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.88%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 10:59
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.34%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.12%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.73%E -6.34%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.68%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.38%EV -13.64%E -7.54%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 11:04
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -10.30%E -5.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -12.21%E -6.63%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 11:24
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 10:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-20 11:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-20 11:24
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-09-20 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-20 11:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-20 11:15
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-09-20 11:24