L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Arminia Bielefeld v 1. FC Heidenheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 11:30 UTC

Score final : Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Arminia Bielefeld (Local)

Prévision 47.71%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.60%47.63%47.71%48.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.951.952.0355.25%51.33%51.28%49.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV +0.810%
Avantage +0.219%
Kelly +0.301%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.18%27.43%27.32%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.303.6933.33%30.00%30.30%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.97%4.01cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.674%
Kelly -0.907%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.09%24.94%24.98%25.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.673.703.9028.57%27.27%27.03%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Arminia Bielefeld (Local) : 47.71% ; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur) : 27.32% ; Match nul : 24.97%. Pour 1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.66. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.69, soit une espérance positive de +0.810%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV +0.810%E +0.219%K +0.301%G +0.002%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -3.63%E -0.940%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -0.283%E -0.078%K -0.107%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:48
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:14
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:23
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:22
Suprabets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -4.38%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:18
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.71%EV -6.48%E -3.31%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -4.93%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.12%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.96%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -5.47%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.42%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -2.63%E -0.674%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.42%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -2.63%E -0.674%K -0.907%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 10:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.87%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.75%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 11:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 10:49
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.53%E -2.79%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 11:24
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:00
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.87%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.11%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 11:09
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:24
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.12%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 10:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.39%E -4.37%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.48%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -10.12%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 10:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.57%E -2.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.63%E -0.674%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:15
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:25
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -3.88%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 10:59
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.34%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.12%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 11:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.13%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.73%E -6.34%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.68%E -6.93%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.38%EV -13.64%E -7.54%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -11.21%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 11:04
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.37%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:25
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -6.96%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.72%EV -10.30%E -5.48%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -7.62%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -12.21%E -6.63%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.58%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-20 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.25%EV -7.44%E -3.83%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.48%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.21%EV -7.91%E -4.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -13.94%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -8.87%E -4.64%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -15.31%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.62%E -3.60%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 11:24
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -3.62%E -1.79%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -18.04%E -6.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.37%E -3.20%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 10:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-20 11:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-20 11:24
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-09-20 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-20 11:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-09-20 11:15
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.86%1.8%2026-09-20 11:24