A Escola das Odds

1. FC Nürnberg v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Início: 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Previsão 39.90%2.51odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.917%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.54%39.86%39.91%41.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.45%43.48%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visitante)

Previsão 33.00%3.03odd justa
EV -1.00%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.501%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.00%33.03%33.02%34.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.792.803.0040.00%35.84%35.71%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.10%3.69odd justa
EV -2.44%
Vantagem -0.677%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.00%27.12%27.07%28.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.413.413.6033.33%29.28%29.33%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -2.25%E -0.917%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.97%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -3.52%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 11:45
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.05%EV -3.04%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%EV -8.26%E -2.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 11:49
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.00%E -0.334%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 11:44
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.00%E -0.334%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 11:44
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 11:53
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 11:54
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 11:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 11:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:43
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.96%EV -5.84%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.65%E -0.899%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 11:34
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.30%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 11:24
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:44
Suprabets2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -7.59%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:45
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 11:44
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 11:45
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -6.77%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:43
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.94%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:44
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.94%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.65%E -0.899%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 11:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 11:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 11:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.21%E -5.02%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 11:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.21%E -5.02%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 11:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.54%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.54%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 11:54
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -4.96%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -4.96%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 11:44
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 11:54
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.42%E -5.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.85%EV -10.24%E -3.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.91%EV -10.02%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 11:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -14.20%E -5.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -13.21%E -5.02%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-07 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.95%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 12:25
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.95%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 12:25
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.90%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.05%EV -13.54%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 11:43
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.55%EV -16.21%E -7.72%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.22%EV -17.50%E -7.00%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.23%EV -17.34%E -5.69%K -8.46%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-07 11:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-03-07 11:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-07 11:45