Die Schule der Quoten

1. FC Nürnberg v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Heim)

Prognose 39.90%2.51faire Quote
EV -2.25%
Vorteil -0.917%
Kelly -1.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.54%39.86%39.91%41.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.45%43.48%40.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Auswärts)

Prognose 33.00%3.03faire Quote
EV -1.00%
Vorteil -0.334%
Kelly -0.501%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.00%33.03%33.02%34.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.502.792.803.0040.00%35.84%35.71%33.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.10%3.69faire Quote
EV -2.44%
Vorteil -0.677%
Kelly -0.937%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.00%27.12%27.07%28.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.413.413.6033.33%29.28%29.33%27.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%EV -2.25%E -0.917%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.28%EV -3.97%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -3.52%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 11:45
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.05%EV -3.04%E -1.25%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.14%EV -8.26%E -2.97%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 11:49
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.00%E -0.334%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 11:44
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.23%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.18%EV -1.00%E -0.334%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 11:44
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 11:53
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -4.24%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 11:54
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.76%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.20%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 11:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 11:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -5.04%E -2.12%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:43
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.96%EV -5.84%E -2.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 11:44
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.65%E -0.899%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 11:34
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.30%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 11:24
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 11:44
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:44
Suprabets2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -6.28%E -2.21%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -7.59%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:45
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.50%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 11:44
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.24%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 11:45
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.64%EV -5.62%E -1.97%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.13%EV -6.77%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:43
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.94%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:44
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.92%EV -7.43%E -3.20%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.84%EV -6.94%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.65%E -0.899%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 11:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 11:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.57%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 11:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.21%E -5.02%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 11:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -13.21%E -5.02%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 11:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.54%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -8.23%E -3.58%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -13.54%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.92%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 11:54
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -4.96%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -4.96%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.44%E -0.677%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 12:50
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:25
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.95%EV -9.03%E -3.96%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.95%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 12:50
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.79%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 12:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.60%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:25
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -5.15%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 11:44
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.43%EV -10.23%E -4.54%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 11:54
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.42%E -5.15%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.85%EV -10.24%E -3.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.91%EV -10.02%E -3.02%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 11:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -9.25%E -3.36%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -14.20%E -5.46%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.21%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-07 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -12.22%E -5.55%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -13.21%E -5.02%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.70%E -6.23%K -9.35%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-07 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.95%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 12:25
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 40.95%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -10.90%E -4.04%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -7.86%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 12:25
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.90%EV -13.42%E -6.18%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.05%EV -13.54%E -5.17%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 11:43
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.55%EV -16.21%E -7.72%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.22%EV -17.50%E -7.00%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.23%EV -17.34%E -5.69%K -8.46%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-07 11:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-03-07 11:55
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-03-07 11:45