L’École des cotes

1. FC Nürnberg v FC Schalke 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 18:30 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 FC Schalke 04

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prévision 38.35%2.61cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.863%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.03%38.43%38.37%40.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.382.382.5544.84%42.06%42.02%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Schalke 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.79%2.79cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.50%35.80%35.74%37.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.7041.67%38.58%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.85%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.458%
Avantage -0.119%
Kelly -0.161%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.76%25.88%27.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.603.8532.26%28.03%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.61%EV -2.20%E -0.863%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.75%EV -6.58%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -3.30%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 18:15
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.65%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -6.22%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -6.15%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:24
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.65%EV -4.79%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:23
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.65%EV -4.79%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:24
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:14
Suprabets2.47I 40.49%NM 37.83%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.66%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:24
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.67%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:49
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -7.30%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.44%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:45
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:13
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:24
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:45
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -7.19%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -7.66%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:45
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -7.19%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -7.66%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.81%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -0.458%E -0.119%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:10
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:23
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:24
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:24
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:25
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.54%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -12.61%E -3.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 17:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 18:25
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:14
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:44
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:14
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.68%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 18:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.92%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -13.38%E -5.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -14.10%E -5.87%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 18:09
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.71%E -6.09%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 18:25
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.71%E -6.09%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -13.71%E -6.09%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 18:05
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -14.47%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -14.47%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 18:15
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -14.47%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 17:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-09 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-09 18:24
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-09 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-09 18:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-09 18:24
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-05-09 18:20