La escuela de los momios

1. FC Nürnberg v FC Schalke 04

Inicio: 2026-05-09 18:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 FC Schalke 04

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Predicción 38.35%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.863%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.03%38.43%38.37%40.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.232.382.382.5544.84%42.06%42.02%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Schalke 04 (Visitante)

Predicción 35.79%2.79momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.50%35.80%35.74%37.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.592.602.7041.67%38.58%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.85%3.87momio equitativo
EV -0.458%
Ventaja -0.119%
Kelly -0.161%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.65%25.76%25.88%27.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.603.8532.26%28.03%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.61%EV -2.20%E -0.863%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.75%EV -6.58%E -2.52%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -3.30%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 18:15
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.65%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -6.22%E -2.38%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -6.15%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:24
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.65%EV -4.79%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:23
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.65%EV -4.79%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 18:24
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 18:14
Suprabets2.47I 40.49%NM 37.83%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.22%EV -7.66%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 18:24
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.67%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:49
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -5.65%E -2.30%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -7.30%E -2.82%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.44%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:24
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:45
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.05%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:13
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:24
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.04%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 17:45
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -7.19%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -7.66%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:45
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.17%EV -7.19%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.81%EV -7.66%E -2.97%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.81%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -0.458%E -0.119%K -0.161%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 17:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:10
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:44
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:44
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 17:44
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 18:23
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.21%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:24
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:24
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:25
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 17:44
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.54%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.03%EV -11.23%E -4.53%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -12.61%E -3.73%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 17:44
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-09 17:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -1.75%E -0.461%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 18:25
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:14
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:14
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -6.94%E -2.67%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 17:44
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:14
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.36%E -1.24%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -5.63%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 18:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.58%EV -10.64%E -4.57%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:14
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.68%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.94%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.92%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 18:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.92%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -13.38%E -5.53%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -11.79%E -5.13%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.49%EV -14.10%E -5.87%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -19.85%E -6.40%K -9.45%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-09 18:09
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -13.71%E -6.09%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 18:25
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.71%E -6.09%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -10.52%E -4.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.09%E -3.56%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-09 17:45
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.61%EV -13.71%E -6.09%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.31%E -5.02%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -13.39%E -4.00%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 18:05
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -14.47%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 18:15
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -14.47%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.51%E -2.72%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-09 18:15
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.67%EV -14.47%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.69%EV -8.73%E -3.42%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.80%E -3.13%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-09 17:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-09 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-09 18:24
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.72%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-09 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-05-09 18:25
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-09 18:24
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-05-09 18:20