L’École des cotes

1. FC Nürnberg v 1. FC Magdeburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prévision 39.77%2.51cote équitable
EV -0.587%
Avantage -0.235%
Kelly -0.391%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.24%39.62%39.70%40.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.352.342.5047.62%42.61%42.74%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Magdeburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.42%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.51%34.61%34.46%37.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.612.622.8042.02%38.31%38.17%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.81%3.87cote équitable
EV -0.620%
Avantage -0.161%
Kelly -0.217%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.38%25.77%25.84%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.563.603.8532.26%28.11%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -12.22%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:50
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -12.22%E -4.79%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -0.587%E -0.235%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -1.38%E -0.557%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.30%EV -1.38%E -0.557%K -0.934%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 11:50
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 22:05
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -2.58%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -14.63%E -5.90%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 11:50
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.29%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.34%EV -4.31%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.37%EV -6.56%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 11:54
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -0.620%E -0.161%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 12:50
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:25
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.86%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:09
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.29%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.98%EV -17.39%E -7.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 11:50
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.29%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.98%EV -17.39%E -7.25%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-19 11:50
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.03%EV -6.15%E -2.61%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -3.62%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:34
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 11:36
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.34%E -1.94%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 18:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:35
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 03:09
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.47%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.00%EV -18.08%E -7.60%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.94%E -3.17%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 11:50
Suprabets2.34I 42.74%NM 39.20%EV -6.95%E -2.97%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.36%EV -8.09%E -3.03%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.44%EV -10.43%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:09
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:30
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 13:25
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -6.37%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:50
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.75%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.90%EV -6.37%E -2.34%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -1.91%E -0.503%K -0.682%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 01:25
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 09:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.91%E -0.503%K -0.682%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 01:24
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 04:10
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -8.78%E -3.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 05:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 14:55
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -3.20%E -0.854%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:44
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.06%E -2.62%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 13:30
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 01:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.24%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:08
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -10.50%E -4.04%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 11:35
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -12.52%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -13.95%E -5.58%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -19.98%E -6.44%K -9.51%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-23 11:34
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.28%EV -13.31%E -6.11%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -9.82%E -3.75%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 13:29
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.13%EV -13.71%E -6.32%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.88%EV -11.54%E -4.49%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.99%EV -13.53%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 06:35
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.95%EV -16.49%E -7.85%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.24%EV -15.67%E -6.39%K -10.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.81%EV -16.11%E -4.96%K -7.16%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-19 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.48%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.48%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-04-23 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.48%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%2.1%2026-04-23 15:45
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 39.94%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.78%3.5%2026-04-23 15:44
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%7.1%2026-04-24 00:30