L’École des cotes

1. FC Magdeburg v VfL Bochum

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prévision 44.53%2.25cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.63%44.42%46.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.072.102.1652.36%48.30%47.62%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VfL Bochum (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.82%3.35cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.407%
Kelly +0.577%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.75%29.76%29.86%30.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.053.4035.71%32.57%32.79%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.439%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.61%25.72%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.603.8532.26%27.81%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +1.38%E +0.407%K +0.577%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 10:29
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -0.405%E -0.121%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 10:10
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.83%EV -3.81%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.60%E -0.484%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.83%EV -3.81%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.60%E -0.484%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.60%E -0.484%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 10:29
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.17%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.08%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:13
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.71%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 10:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 09:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.26%EV -6.04%E -2.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 09:48
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.25%E -0.325%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 11:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 10:29
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:27
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -3.81%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 09:15
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 19:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.53%E -0.666%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 10:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 10:01
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:29
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:30
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:29
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:29
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 09:00
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.78%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 10:29
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 09:15
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.33%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.38%EV -8.18%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 09:14
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 09:14
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.16%E -6.75%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.16%E -6.75%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -14.07%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 10:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.94%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.94%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -14.12%E -4.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.94%E -7.82%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -14.12%E -4.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -20.49%E -6.61%K -9.76%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-04 09:14
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -15.02%E -5.27%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.14%EV -14.05%E -7.28%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.43%EV -14.07%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-23 09:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-04-04 10:30
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 09:44
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-04-04 10:30