La escuela de los momios

1. FC Magdeburg v VfL Bochum

Inicio: 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Predicción 44.53%2.25momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%44.63%44.42%46.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.102.1652.36%48.30%47.62%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VfL Bochum (Visitante)

Predicción 29.82%3.35momio equitativo
EV +1.38%
Ventaja +0.407%
Kelly +0.577%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.75%29.76%29.86%30.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.053.4035.71%32.57%32.79%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.65%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.439%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.61%25.72%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.603.8532.26%27.81%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV +1.38%E +0.407%K +0.577%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 10:29
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.98%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.95%EV -0.405%E -0.121%K -0.173%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.07%EV -4.84%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 10:10
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.83%EV -3.81%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.60%E -0.484%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.83%EV -3.81%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.60%E -0.484%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.82%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 10:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.60%E -0.484%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 10:29
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.17%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.08%EV -3.98%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 10:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 09:13
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.71%E -2.76%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 10:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 09:44
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.58%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:29
Suprabets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.26%EV -6.04%E -2.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -4.88%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.46%EV -9.46%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 09:48
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -1.25%E -0.325%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 11:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 10:29
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.07%E -1.93%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 10:27
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.70%EV -3.81%E -1.76%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 09:15
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 10:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 19:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.53%E -0.666%K -0.904%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 10:30
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -5.59%E -2.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 10:09
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 10:01
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:29
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:29
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 10:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.56%E -2.44%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 10:30
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:30
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:29
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 10:29
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:29
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -7.37%E -3.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -9.05%E -2.97%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 10:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.81%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 09:00
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.78%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 10:29
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.48%E -3.09%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 09:15
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.33%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.38%EV -8.18%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 09:14
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 09:14
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.16%E -6.75%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.54%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.58%EV -13.16%E -6.75%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -12.03%E -4.08%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -14.07%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 10:07
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-03 19:14
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.94%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.38%EV -10.94%E -5.47%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -13.53%E -4.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -8.94%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-04 10:30
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.27%E -6.23%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -14.12%E -4.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -14.94%E -7.82%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -14.12%E -4.90%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -20.49%E -6.61%K -9.76%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-04 09:14
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.83%E -5.97%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -15.02%E -5.27%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-04 10:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.14%EV -14.05%E -7.28%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -16.51%E -5.90%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.43%EV -14.07%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-23 09:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-04-04 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-04-04 10:30
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 09:44
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-04-04 10:30