The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

1. FC Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 11:01 UTC

Final: 1. FC Magdeburg 6–1 Karlsruher SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prediction 52.52%1.90fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.68%52.57%52.57%54.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.751.8460.61%57.23%57.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.421%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.88%23.87%23.84%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.873.904.1328.57%25.82%25.64%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.59%4.24fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -0.804%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%23.56%23.59%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.904.1028.57%25.68%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 52.52%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 23.89%; Draw: 23.59%. For Karlsruher SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.13, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.55%EV -3.36%E -1.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.64%EV -2.27%E -0.556%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -4.24%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 10:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.21%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.58%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.21%EV -6.10%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 10:55
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.50%EV -4.94%E -2.73%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.01%EV -1.32%E -0.319%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.49%EV -8.49%E -2.19%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 10:59
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.42%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 10:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -4.42%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 10:14
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 08:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 00:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.84%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 10:51
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 10:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.46%E -3.04%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.42%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 10:46
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.42%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 10:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.02%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 10:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.04%E -3.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.02%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 00:29
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -7.56%E -4.30%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.62%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 10:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 10:14
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 06:14
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.02%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 11:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 00:30
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 00:29
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.37%E -2.73%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 10:51
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 11:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 04:31
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 04:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.73%E -3.44%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 04:31
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -8.09%E -4.62%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -17.45%E -4.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -8.61%E -4.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-23 12:00
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -2.04%E -0.496%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.30%E -0.804%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 10:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -5.66%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.98%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -15.09%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-24 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -10.72%E -6.30%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -15.09%E -4.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-24 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.90%EV -10.72%E -6.30%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -16.37%E -4.68%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.38%EV -16.27%E -4.58%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-24 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.63%EV -11.24%E -6.65%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.12%EV -7.54%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.94%EV -11.24%E -6.65%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -14.46%E -4.04%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.53%EV -12.02%E -3.22%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-24 10:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.02%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.02%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.02%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -11.77%E -7.00%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.55%E -3.08%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.71%EV -12.29%E -7.36%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.30%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.85%EV -13.34%E -8.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.85%EV -13.34%E -8.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -8.01%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%1.0%2026-10-24 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-10-24 10:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-10-24 10:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-10-24 10:46
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-10-24 11:00
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.0%2026-10-24 11:00

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.