The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Magdeburg 3–0 Hannover 96

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.81%36.70%36.66%38.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6343.48%40.32%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visit)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.45%39.08%39.07%40.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.352.5046.51%42.31%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.456%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%24.22%24.27%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.2028.57%26.42%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 36.61%; Hannover 96 (Visit): 39.12%; Draw: 24.27%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV +1.92%E +0.456%K +0.599%G +0.011%4.7%2026-09-22 19:15
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 00:30
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 10:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 07:09
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.94%E -0.734%K -0.979%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-30 11:19
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.28%EV -3.71%E -1.41%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.75%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.97%EV -3.42%E -0.860%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.76%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.02%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.76%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.02%EV -4.55%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.22%EV -4.64%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 18:35
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.77%EV -8.46%E -3.61%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -4.88%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.77%EV -8.46%E -3.61%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -4.88%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 01:40
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -2.20%E -0.880%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-03 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -5.36%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.57%EV -8.46%E -3.61%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.11%EV -6.82%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -4.16%E -1.70%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 11:01
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -4.80%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-23 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.70%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.67%EV -5.33%E -2.20%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 11:04
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.28%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 04:04
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -6.89%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-04 22:10
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -6.89%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-04 22:13
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 11:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 11:10
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -6.63%E -2.60%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-03 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -12.86%E -5.40%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -8.07%E -3.43%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -6.11%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-03 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -6.89%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.65%EV -6.89%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.22%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-03 11:05
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.73%E -3.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.51%EV -6.89%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-23 21:35
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.37%EV -7.73%E -3.07%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.51%EV -6.89%E -2.90%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-23 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.20%EV -13.96%E -5.94%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.85%EV -11.98%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.95%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-23 21:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 01:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 02:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 02:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.46%E -3.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-28 08:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-28 12:20
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-28 12:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.30%E -4.20%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.36%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-28 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.25%EV -15.79%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -13.94%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.80%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-23 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.34%EV -11.39%E -4.71%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.09%EV -11.98%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.57%EV -13.13%E -3.67%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-02 11:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 35.95%EV -11.39%E -4.71%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.54%EV -13.94%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.51%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-04 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.81%EV -12.13%E -5.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -15.89%E -7.39%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.21%EV -13.86%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-04 11:05
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -12.86%E -5.40%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -13.94%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -15.07%E -4.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-22 10:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.23%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.23%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-05 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.23%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-10-05 13:00
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-10-05 13:40