Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96

2026-10-10 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.30%36.43%36.48%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.512.522.6241.67%39.92%39.60%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visit)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%39.51%39.65%39.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.302.342.4046.95%43.40%42.64%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.95%4.18fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.24%24.05%23.87%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.763.754.0029.41%26.60%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 36.44%; Hannover 96 (Visit): 39.61%; Draw: 23.95%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -4.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.39%EV -4.54%E -1.73%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.72%EV -4.93%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.89%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 12:19
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -4.93%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 10:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.28%EV -6.51%E -2.76%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.39%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -4.93%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 11:29
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.77%EV -7.30%E -3.12%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.12%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.77%EV -7.30%E -3.12%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.74%EV -6.12%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:14
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.35%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.45%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.20%EV -8.27%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-22 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.39%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 10:29
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 10:29
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 10:24
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.91%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 10:24
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -8.89%E -3.86%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -12.58%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-22 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.89%E -3.86%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-22 10:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.07%EV -11.82%E -4.89%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.68%EV -12.85%E -5.84%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-22 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.26%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -12.85%E -5.84%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-22 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.14%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -12.85%E -5.84%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -14.98%E -4.22%K -5.87%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-22 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.43%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.55%EV -14.83%E -6.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -18.57%E -5.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%17.6%2026-09-22 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.30%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 39.78%EV -15.62%E -7.33%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.92%EV -18.57%E -5.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%18.0%2026-09-22 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.