Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Início: 2026-09-12 11:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Magdeburg 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Magdeburg (Local)

Previsão 44.66%2.24odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.48%44.64%44.64%45.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.062.062.1652.08%48.59%48.43%46.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visitante)

Previsão 30.08%3.32odd justa
EV -3.74%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -1.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.24%30.12%30.12%31.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.043.003.2034.72%32.90%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.26%3.96odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.384%
Kelly -0.516%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.75%25.24%25.24%26.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.643.633.9029.41%27.47%27.51%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: 1. FC Magdeburg (Local): 44.66%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visitante): 30.08%; Empate: 25.26%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.96. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.90, com valor esperado de -1.50%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.12%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.87%E -2.29%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -5.79%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 12:00
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -5.32%E -2.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.76%E -0.717%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 20:09
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.15%EV -5.32%E -2.51%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -6.14%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -8.57%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 08:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 00:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-08 07:44
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.74%E -1.17%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.50%E -0.384%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 11:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.38%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.14%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.57%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 10:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 10:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.21%E -2.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 10:00
Suprabets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.33%EV -6.66%E -3.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.25%EV -10.84%E -3.07%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 00:34
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:06
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:06
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:05
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.24%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 14:06
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -8.25%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -1.50%E -0.384%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 20:09
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -7.11%E -3.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 04:50
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.50%E -0.384%K -0.516%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 20:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 20:10
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 20:20
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 15:09
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 15:09
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.25%E -2.70%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 20:05
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.75%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 20:05
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 14:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 00:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.45%E -4.12%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 00:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.78%E -4.84%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-09 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 20:05
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 20:05
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -10.68%E -5.34%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.36%E -4.64%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.70%EV -11.57%E -5.84%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.70%EV -11.57%E -5.84%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 14:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.47%EV -11.57%E -5.84%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.37%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 20:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.83%EV -12.02%E -6.10%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -11.26%E -3.82%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.56%EV -13.37%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 20:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.52%EV -12.91%E -6.62%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.94%EV -12.76%E -4.40%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -14.13%E -4.15%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.69%EV -14.25%E -7.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -9.75%E -3.25%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -11.60%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 06:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.73%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-09-09 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%3.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%3.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%3.8%2026-09-09 14:20
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%5.1%2026-09-09 17:35
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%13.5%2026-09-09 13:46