The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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1. FC Kaiserslautern v VfL Bochum

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC

Final: 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2–0 VfL Bochum

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prediction 41.82%2.39fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%41.88%41.86%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.47%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Bochum (Visit)

Prediction 31.99%3.13fair odd
EV +0.434%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.203%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.32%31.90%32.00%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1437.04%34.70%34.48%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.22%26.14%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.7530.30%28.45%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local): 41.82%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 31.99%; Draw: 26.20%. For VfL Bochum (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.434%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.84%E -4.05%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.32%EV +0.434%E +0.138%K +0.203%G +0.001%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.84%E -4.05%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.32%EV +0.434%E +0.138%K +0.203%G +0.001%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.01%EV -4.12%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 01:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -0.845%E -0.273%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 10:15
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.09%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -1.80%E -0.588%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -3.86%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 10:59
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.04%E -1.35%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 10:59
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.76%E -0.470%K -0.641%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 10:15
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 10:30
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.75%E -3.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.82%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.64%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 10:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.07%EV -7.58%E -3.43%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.73%EV -6.28%E -2.14%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 10:20
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -5.07%E -2.23%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -2.29%E -0.613%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 10:59
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 10:15
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 10:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.07%EV -4.24%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.82%E -1.66%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:15
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 10:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 10:23
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 10:19
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.00%E -1.97%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 10:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 10:59
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 10:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 10:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.24%E -2.50%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 10:14
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -7.88%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.00%E -3.64%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 10:30
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.12%EV -7.16%E -3.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 10:15
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.12%EV -7.16%E -3.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.95%EV -9.67%E -4.48%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -8.84%E -3.10%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 10:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 10:15
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -5.91%E -2.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.31%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 10:30
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.94%EV -10.51%E -4.91%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 10:30
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -12.18%E -5.80%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -10.44%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 10:15
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 10:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-17 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.35%E -5.35%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-17 10:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.76%EV -11.35%E -5.35%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-17 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -14.27%E -6.96%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -12.04%E -4.38%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-17 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -11.35%E -5.35%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.18%EV -12.68%E -4.64%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -12.77%E -3.83%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-17 10:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.09%E -4.69%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -13.64%E -5.05%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.62%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-17 10:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-10-17 10:55
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-10-17 10:55
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-10-17 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-17 10:55
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84%1.8%2026-10-17 10:55