L’École des cotes

1. FC Kaiserslautern v SC Paderborn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Local)

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.289%
Kelly -0.405%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.18%28.33%28.31%32.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.223.233.5035.09%31.10%31.01%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Paderborn (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.74%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.625%
Avantage +0.284%
Kelly +0.521%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.96%45.70%45.73%47.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.022.022.2054.05%49.40%49.38%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.688%
Kelly -0.938%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%25.98%25.96%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.553.593.7532.26%28.13%27.86%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -19.40%E -6.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV +0.625%E +0.284%K +0.521%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-24 22:24
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.72%EV -1.29%E -0.371%K -0.520%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.07%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.22%EV -4.14%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 11:40
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -3.95%E -1.88%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 08:34
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.13%EV -4.41%E -2.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.86%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.58%E -0.688%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 10:35
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.86%E -2.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -2.58%E -0.688%K -0.938%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.78%E -2.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 10:35
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:05
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.01%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 11:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:39
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:36
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:35
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 10:35
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.24%E -3.04%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -6.69%E -3.28%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 10:35
1xBet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -4.41%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.13%EV -7.15%E -3.52%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -7.00%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 11:40
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -7.61%E -3.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets3.41I 29.33%NM 27.34%EV -3.56%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.07%E -4.01%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:37
Marathon Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.07%E -4.01%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.52%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 11:40
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.88%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.27%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.52%E -4.26%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.67%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-28 11:05
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -9.89%E -5.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 10:35
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.22%EV -9.89%E -5.02%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.09%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.27%E -5.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -9.85%E -2.84%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -13.74%E -4.50%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.91%EV -12.18%E -6.34%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -9.07%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.31%EV -12.64%E -6.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.84%EV -12.97%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -12.64%E -6.62%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.47%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -13.10%E -6.89%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 11:40
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.98%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.37%EV -15.38%E -8.32%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -18.17%E -5.77%K -8.45%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.36%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-02-28 11:40